Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.026954 0.029540 0.032103 0.034828 0.037639 0.040450 0.043466
2025-01-19 0.020685 0.024750 0.028906 0.033445 0.038237 0.043126 0.048469
2025-01-26 0.017867 0.022975 0.028325 0.034282 0.040673 0.047277 0.054576
2025-02-02 0.015231 0.021045 0.027279 0.034340 0.042018 0.050037 0.058978
2025-02-09 0.012497 0.018738 0.025602 0.033514 0.042232 0.051429 0.061765
2025-02-16 0.010862 0.017520 0.025003 0.033753 0.043492 0.053844 0.065545
2025-02-23 0.009263 0.016204 0.024189 0.033659 0.044305 0.055700 0.068650
2025-03-02 0.007754 0.014868 0.023260 0.033360 0.044822 0.057174 0.071281
2025-03-09 0.006515 0.013760 0.022526 0.033220 0.045465 0.058738 0.073964
2025-03-16 0.005130 0.012331 0.021328 0.032483 0.045384 0.059460 0.075685
2025-03-23 0.004291 0.011557 0.020877 0.032577 0.046209 0.061155 0.078440
2025-03-30 0.003351 0.010531 0.020057 0.032195 0.046457 0.062177 0.080428
2025-04-06 0.002298 0.009279 0.019011 0.031658 0.046680 0.063349 0.082792
2025-04-13 0.001158 0.007601 0.017337 0.030346 0.046021 0.063567 0.084151
2025-04-20 0.000809 0.007251 0.017409 0.031155 0.047825 0.066551 0.088574
2025-04-27 0.000383 0.006524 0.016905 0.031212 0.048712 0.068471 0.091784
2025-05-04 0.000028 0.005418 0.015768 0.030417 0.048552 0.069165 0.093592
2025-05-11 NaN 0.004909 0.015457 0.030646 0.049590 0.071208 0.096893
2025-05-18 NaN 0.004290 0.014924 0.030556 0.050221 0.072764 0.099625
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003635 0.014264 0.030268 0.050587 0.073994 0.101969
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003101 0.013742 0.030133 0.051120 0.075400 0.104495
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002393 0.012823 0.029424 0.050923 0.075938 0.106018
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002044 0.012505 0.029515 0.051696 0.077592 0.108796